Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 5.974307 6.813864 7.739800 8.838531 10.109049 11.534753 13.259624
2025-06-01 4.736930 5.798820 7.062966 8.685230 10.721016 13.203100 16.476805
2025-06-08 3.954693 5.097677 6.536785 8.494067 11.105678 14.496703 19.276096
2025-06-15 3.606278 4.852717 6.497372 8.846648 12.149373 16.676053 23.434410
2025-06-22 3.254074 4.540338 6.306185 8.936293 12.803503 18.357889 27.078682
2025-06-29 2.927963 4.216262 6.047235 8.876504 13.205084 19.686974 30.334748
2025-07-06 2.646097 3.919399 5.786150 8.768016 13.497444 20.854516 33.453080
2025-07-13 2.505058 3.812783 5.788442 9.047707 14.402399 23.049870 38.480378
2025-07-20 2.363852 3.688948 5.747031 9.245267 15.184205 25.117434 43.543626
2025-07-27 2.269617 3.627855 5.794316 9.584666 16.227804 27.725772 49.883607
2025-08-03 2.078704 3.391431 5.533538 9.375494 16.296878 28.637615 53.224564
2025-08-10 1.925754 3.204023 5.335935 9.252058 16.497087 29.792707 57.156781
2025-08-17 1.788406 3.033670 5.155936 9.148083 16.732419 31.059039 61.527043
2025-08-24 1.655860 2.860502 4.955854 8.987089 16.841434 32.093492 65.566050
2025-08-31 1.531301 2.691012 4.747321 8.788454 16.852773 32.929714 69.290720
2025-09-07 1.498429 2.683994 4.831720 9.154337 18.015870 36.214971 78.807874
2025-09-14 1.431098 2.607528 4.780061 9.247377 18.631015 38.428759 86.230924
2025-09-21 1.349962 2.498525 4.657405 9.185320 18.912800 39.956443 92.268652
2025-09-28 1.269730 2.385071 4.516860 9.072722 19.072446 41.229356 97.872299
2025-10-05 1.241030 2.369680 4.567292 9.363018 20.144388 44.683224 109.424693
2025-10-12 1.204583 2.335940 4.577803 9.568085 21.045641 47.848111 120.736698
2025-10-19 1.184800 2.334149 4.652891 9.920416 22.323534 52.066159 135.537088
2025-10-26 1.111670 2.217444 4.480022 9.703269 22.233206 52.920810 141.237796